Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)
Keywords
computing infrastructure; carbon emission reduction; green computility; green transition
Document Type
Policy & Management Research
Abstract
As a foundational pillar of an increasingly digital and intelligent society, computing infrastructure embodies a dual nature—marked by high energy consumption and potential for emission reduction simultaneously. This duality positions it as a critical domain requiring balance under China’s dual-carbon goals. Nevertheless, there remains no clear consensus on methods for estimating its carbon emissions. Its ambiguity stems from differences in the applicability of assessment methods across various lifecycle stages, as well as a fragmented understanding of its intrinsic emissions and enabling effects on carbon mitigation. This study systematically reviews estimation methodologies from both broad and narrow perspectives, highlighting the heterogeneity of emissions across different lifecycle stages and revealing the green enabling potential of computing infrastructure. Findings indicate that indirect emissions from purchased electricity during the operational phase account for nearly 90% of total emissions. Despite its high energy intensity, computing infrastructure holds considerable emission reduction potential—achieved through energy efficiency improvements, intelligent resource scheduling, and digital enablement of traditional sectors. These factors collectively support a structural net effect where reductions can outweigh emissions. To address the current gaps—namely, incomplete lifecycle data, weak methodological adaptability, and the absence of models suited to emerging scenarios—this study proposes an “optimize–evaluate–coordinate” research framework. It advocates for the construction of a data governance system supported by institutional, technological, and methodological pillars; the development of a dynamic carbon accounting system spanning the full lifecycle; and the creation of a multi-scale, adaptive path for collaborative governance. The study offers methodological guidance for quantifying the carbon neutrality contribution of computing infrastructure and provides strategic insights for promoting a green transition in computing and synergizing digital and ecological transformation.
First page
1777
Last Page
1791
Language
Chinese
Publisher
Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences
References
1. 李平, 邓洲, 张艳芳. 新科技革命和产业变革下全球算力竞争格局及中国对策. 经济纵横, 2021, (4): 33-42. Li P, Deng Z, Zhang Y F. The global computing power competition pattern under the new sci-tech revolution and industrial transformation and China’s countermeasures. Economic Review Journal, 2021, (4): 33-42. (in Chinese)
2. 陈晓红, 曹廖滢, 陈姣龙, 等. 我国算力发展的需求、电力能耗及绿色低碳转型对策. 中国科学院院刊, 2024, 39(3): 528-539. Chen X H, Cao L Y, Chen J L, et al. Development demand, power energy consumption and green and low-carbon transition for computing power in China. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2024, 39(3): 528-539. (in Chinese)
3. 孔芳霞, 刘新智, 周韩梅, 等. 新型基础设施建设与城市绿色发展耦合协调的时空演变特征与影响因素. 经济地理, 2022, 42(9): 22-32. Kong F X, Liu X Z, Zhou H M, et al. Spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling coordination between new infrastructure construction and urban green development. Economic Geography, 2022, 42(9): 22-32. (in Chinese)
4. Tomlinson B, Black R W, Patterson D J, et al. The carbon emissions of writing and illustrating are lower for AI than for humans. Scientific Reports, 2024, 14: 3732.
5. 周瑜, 张炜乐, 段婉婷. “东数西算”背景下数据中心碳减排效益分析. 大数据, 2023, 9(5): 48-60. Zhou Y, Zhang W L, Duan W T. Data center carbon reduction analysis in the context of “Channel Computing Resources from the East to the West”. Big Data Research, 2023, 9(5): 48-60. (in Chinese)
6. Coroama V C, Hilty L M. Energy consumed vs. energy saved by ICT—A closer look. EnviroInfo (2), 2009: 347-355.
7. 李洁, 王月. 算力基础设施的现状、趋势和对策建议. 信息通信技术与政策, 2022, (3): 1-6. Li J, Wang Y. The status, trends and suggestions of computing infrastructure. Information and Communications Technology and Policy, 2022, (3): 2-6. (in Chinese)
8. Malmodin J, Lundén D, Moberg Å, et al. Life cycle assessment of ICT: Carbon footprint and operational electricity use from the operator, national, and subscriber perspective in Sweden. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 2014, 18(6): 829-845.
9. Faist Emmenegger M, Frischknecht R, Stutz M, et al. Life cycle assessment of the mobile communication system UMTS: Towards eco-efficient systems. The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 2006, 11(4): 265-276.
10. 陈晓红, 付益鹏, 黄骋东, 等. 特高压工程建设碳排放测算方法与应用. 资源科学, 2023, 45(12): 2291-2310. Chen X H, Fu Y P, Huang C D, et al. Method and application of carbon emission calculation for ultra-high voltage (UHV) project construction. Resources Science, 2023, 45(12): 2291-2310. (in Chinese)
11. 吴建斌, 任中睿, 薛磊, 等. 绿电交易背景下5G基站降碳路径分析. 电力建设, 2023, 44(6): 53-60. Wu J B, Ren Z R, Xue L, et al. Carbon reduction path analysis of 5G base stations in the context of green power trading. Electric Power Construction, 2023, 44(6): 53-60. (in Chinese)
12. Patterson D, Gonzalez J, Hölzle U, et al. The carbon footprint of machine learning training will plateau, then shrink. Computer, 2022, 55(7): 18-28.
13. Dhar P. The carbon impact of artificial intelligence. Nature Machine Intelligence, 2020, 2(8): 423-425.
14. Li T, Yu L, Ma Y B, et al. Carbon emissions of 5G mobile networks in China. Nature Sustainability, 2023, 6(12): 1620-1631.
15. Zhou F, Wang R M, Ma G Y. Carbon emission scenario analysis of data centers in China under the carbon neutrality target. International Journal of Refrigeration, 2024, 168: 648-661.
16. Dehghan Shabani Z, Shahnazi R. Energy consumption, carbon dioxide emissions, information and communications technology, and gross domestic product in Iranian economic sectors: A panel causality analysis. Energy, 2019, 169: 1064-1078.
17. Asongu S A, Le Roux S, Biekpe N. Environmental degradation, ICT and inclusive development in Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Policy, 2017, 111: 353-361.
18. Moyer J D, Hughes B B. ICTs: do they contribute to increased carbon emissions?. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2012, 79(5): 919-931.
19. Sun X M, Xiao S Y, Ren X H, et al. Time-varying impact of information and communication technology on carbon emissions. Energy Economics, 2023, 118: 106492.
20. Lee C C, Yuan Z H, Lee C C. A nonlinear analysis of the impacts of information and communication technologies on environmental quality: A global perspective. Energy Economics, 2023, 128: 107177.
21. Añón Higón D, Gholami R, Shirazi F. ICT and environmental sustainability: A global perspective. Telematics and Informatics, 2017, 34(4): 85-95.
22. Romm J. The internet and the new energy economy. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2002, 36(3): 197-210.
23. Abu Bakar Siddik M, Amaya M, Marston L T. The water and carbon footprint of cryptocurrencies and conventional currencies. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2023, 411: 137268.
24. Luccioni A S, Viguier S, Ligozat A L. Estimating the carbon footprint of BLOOM, a 176b parameter language model. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2023, 24(1): 11990-12004.
25. Schwartz R, Dodge J, Smith N A, et al. Green AI. Communications of the ACM, 2020, 63(12): 54-63.
26. Brown T B, Mann B, Ryder N, et al. Language models are few-shot learners// Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on in Neural Information Processing Systems. Vancouver: ACM 2020: 1877-1901.
27. Yang H C, Li L S, Liu Y B. The effect of manufacturing intelligence on green innovation performance in China. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2022, 178: 121569.
28. Li Z W, Zhou Y, Zhang C J. The impact of population factors and low-carbon innovation on carbon dioxide emissions: A Chinese city perspective. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2022, 29(48): 72853-72870.
29. Chen P, Gao J, Ji Z, et al. Do artificial intelligence applications affect carbon emission performance?—Evidence from panel data analysis of Chinese cities. Energies, 2022, 15(15): 5730.
30. 陈晓红, 张静辉, 汪阳洁, 等. 数字赋能、技术创新与空气污染治理——来自专利文本挖掘的证据. 经济研究, 2024, 59(12): 21-39. Chen X H, Zhang J H, Wang Y J, et al. Digital empowerment, technological innovation and air pollution control: Evidence from patent text mining. Economic Research Journal, 2024, 59(12): 21-39. (in Chinese)
31. Meng X N, Xu S C, Zhang J N. How does industrial intelligence affect carbon intensity in China? Empirical analysis based on Chinese provincial panel data. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2022, 376: 134273.
32. Lv H, Shi B B, Li N, et al. Intelligent manufacturing and carbon emissions reduction: Evidence from the use of industrial robots in China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022, 19(23): 15538..
33. Yu L Z, Wang Y, Wei X H, et al. Towards low-carbon development: The role of industrial robots in decarbonization in Chinese cities. Journal of Environmental Management, 2023, 330: 117216.
34. 王政, 刘志强. 智能制造,澎湃产业新动能. 人民日报, 2023-03-22 (18). Wang Z, Liu Z Q. Intelligent Manufacturing, Unleashing New Momentum for Industry. People’s Daily, 2023-03-22(18). (in Chinese)
35. 刘满凤, 李昕耀, 周楚君. 中国市域数字基础设施水平及其“降碳—增效”效应. 经济地理, 2025, 45(8): 20-30. Liu M F, Li X Y, Zhou C J. Level and “carbon reduction-efficiency enhancement” effect of digital infrastructure in China at the prefecture level. Economic Geography, 2025, 45(8): 20-30. (in Chinese)
36. Li B, Liu J, Liu Q, et al. The effects of broadband infrastructure on carbon emission efficiency of resource-based cities in China: A quasi-natural experiment from the “Broadband China” pilot policy. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022, 19(11): 6734.
37. 高瑜蔚, 胡良霖, 朱艳华, 等. 国家基础学科公共科学数据中心建设与发展实践. 科学通报, 2024, 69(24): 3578-3588. Gao Y W, Hu L L, Zhu Y H, et al. Construction and practice of national basic science data center. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2024, 69(24): 3578-3588. (in Chinese)
Recommended Citation
CHEN, Xiaohong; CAO, Liaoying; WANG, Yangjie; HE, Zhuqian; and CAO, Wenzhi
(2024)
"Carbon emission estimation for computing infrastructure: Methods, progress, and prospects,"
Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version): Vol. 40
:
Iss.
10
, Article 12.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3724/j.issn.1000-3045.20250409002
Available at:
https://bulletinofcas.researchcommons.org/journal/vol40/iss10/12
Included in
Models and Methods Commons, Natural Resources Management and Policy Commons, Science and Technology Policy Commons, Sustainability Commons