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Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)

Keywords

vision, scenario, social development trend, human-based vision, technology group

Document Type

S & T and Society

Abstract

In the next 10 to 15 years, scientific and technological progress will change the industrial structure and global economic growth, and will profoundly change people’s needs for food, clothing, housing, transportation and their forms of the needs to meet. Based on the foresight analysis data of economic, social, and technological development from major countries and international organizations or big enterprises, with the method of information and knowledge element analysis, this study describes humanbased vision from the following five aspects, life, work, health, information, and safety. For each aspect, we put forward some social development trends, visions, specific scenarios, and key future technology groups. All of these provide references for drawing up China's future development vision and technological innovation demands.

First page

199

Last Page

207

Language

Chinese

Publisher

Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences

References

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[2] Hightech Forum. Fachforum Autonome Syestem Chancen und Risiken für Wirtschaft, Wissenschaft und Gesellschaft.[2019-10-10]. http://www.hightech-forum.de/fileadmin/PDF/autonome_systeme_abschlussbericht_kurzversion.pdf.

[3] 日本文部科学省. 平成28年版科学技術白書「超スマー ト社会」の到来. [2019-09-05]. http://www.mext.go.jp/b_menu/hakusho/html/hpaa201601/detail/1371168.htm.

[4] 한국과학기술평가원. 과학기술 미래비전.[2019-07-17]. https://www.kistep.re.kr/c3/sub2_2.jsp?brdType=R&bbIdx=993.

[5] Office of the Deuty Assistant Secretary of the Army(Research & Technology). Emerging Science and Technology Trends: 2016-2045.[2019-09-02]. https://community.apan.org/wg/tradoc-g2/mad-scientist/b/weblog/posts/emerging-science-andtechnology-trends-2016-2045.

[6] Агентство стратегических инициатив. План Мероприятий ("дорожная карта") "Нейронет" Национальной технологической инициативы.[2019-10-09]. http://nti2035.ru/markets/neuronet.

[7] 日本科学技术与学术政策研究所. 地域の特徴を生かした未来社会の姿~2035年の「高齢社会×低炭素社会」. [2019-09-05]. http://doi.org/10.15108/stih.00079.

[8] National Science & Technology Council: Emerging Technologies To Support An Aging Population.[2019-10-11]. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Emerging-Tech-to-Support-Aging-2019.pdf.

[9] Antton Achiary. Dominique Auverlot: Internet: Prospective 2030.[2019-09-06]. https://www.strategie.gouv.fr/sites/strategie.gouv.fr/files/atoms/files/2013-06-27-internet2030-na02-v2_0.pdf.

[10] Norwegian Board of Technology. Scenarios for the future of health and care in Norway 2030.[2019-09-02]. https://teknologiradet.no/wp-content/uploads/sites/105/2017/03/Scenarios_ENG.pdf.

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