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Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)

Keywords

economic growth; price; investment; consumption; foreign trade; forecasting

Document Type

Article

Abstract

In 2016, the downward speed of China's economic growth became slow, GDP growth in the whole year ran smoothly. It may reach about 6.7% annually. Prices kept the moderate upward trend of 2015, and CPI might be about 2.1% in 2016. We expect that, in 2017, China's economy will stay in a steady state with a slight decline, but turn to a good position. The annual GDP growth rate may reach about 6.5%. Prices continue to maintain the moderate upward trend, and the annual CPI probably increases about 2.3%. The import and export will have a negative growth, the total volume of import and export is expected to decline by about 5.4%, exports fell by about 6.9%, imports fell by about 3.4% respectively. The consumption will maintain steady growth in 2017, and the final consumption growth rate is expected to around 9%. The investment growth rate might rise slightly in 2017. It is expected that the growth rate of fixed assets investment reaches around 8.5%.

First page

64

Last Page

69

Language

Chinese

Publisher

Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences

References

陈锡康, 祝坤福, 王会娟, 等. 2017年我国GDP增长速度预测与分析. 2017中国经济预测与展望.杨晓光, 杨翠红, 主编.北京:科学出版社, 2017.

程建华, 许坤, 杨晓光. 2016年物价走势分析及2017年物价预测. 2015中国经济预测与展望.杨晓光, 杨翠红, 主编.北京:科学出版社, 2017.

崔晓杨, 魏云捷, 张珣, 等. 2016-2017年我国进出口形势分析与预测. 2017中国经济预测与展望.杨晓光, 杨翠红, 主编.北京:科学出版社, 2017.

张同斌, 孙静, 陈磊. 2016年固定资产投资态势分析与2017年走势展望. 2017中国经济预测与展望.杨晓光, 杨翠红, 主编.北京:科学出版社, 2017.

刘秀丽, 翟珂昕, 郑杉, 2017年我国消费形势分析与预测. 2017中国经济预测与展望.杨晓光, 杨翠红, 主编.北京:科学出版社, 2017.

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