Impact of climate change on agricultural production in the North China Plain and adaption strategies

Authors

• Yanjun SHEN, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang 050021, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, ChinaFollow
• Ying GUO, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang 050021, China
• Chuanwei ZHANG, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang 050021, China
• Yaning CHEN, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China; Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China

Keywords

climate change, the North China Plain, climate-smart agriculture, adaption strategies, extreme weather events

Abstract

Over the past century, global warming has posed significant challenges to the North China Plain (NCP), a core region for grain production, where resource-induced water scarcity now coincides with complex meteorological disasters. In recent years, the NCP has exhibited new climatic characteristics, notably the transition from a “warm-dry” to a “warm-wet” pattern accompanied by asymmetric warming, leading to an increased frequency of extreme events such as droughts, abrupt dry-flood alternations, and temperature extremes. These shifts pose a grave threat to regional grain stability. Currently, critical gaps remain in the understanding of the underlying disaster mechanisms, as well as in predictive early warning capabilities and emergency response capabilities. To address these challenges, this study proposes constructing an integrated “space-air-ground” high-precision monitoring network coupled with artificial intelligence (AI) and crop models to enhance forecasting and decision-making. It also emphasizes alleviating water constraints through the construction of high-standard farmland and the adoption of high-efficiency water-saving technologies, advancing research into stress-tolerant crop varieties and adaptive cultivation techniques, and improving agricultural insurance systems and large-scale farm management frameworks.

First page

644

Last Page

655

Language

Chinese

Publisher

Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 International License.

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Recommended Citation

SHEN, Yanjun; GUO, Ying; ZHANG, Chuanwei; and CHEN, Yaning (2026) "Impact of climate change on agricultural production in the North China Plain and adaption strategies," Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version): Vol. 41 : Iss. 4 , Article 3.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3724/j.issn.1000-3045.20260308001
Available at: https://bulletinofcas.researchcommons.org/journal/vol41/iss4/3