Methodological Framework of Identifying Disruptive Technologies on Emerging Stage: Based on Science

Authors

Jianjun DENG, Institute of Fluid Physics, China Academy of Engineering Physics, Mianyang 621900, ChinaFollow
Anrong LIU, Chinese Academy of Engineering Innovation Strategy, Beijing 100088, ChinaFollow
Xiaoyang CAO, Chinese Academy of Engineering Innovation Strategy, Beijing 100088, China
Ke ZHANG, China Academy of Engineering Physics, Mianyang 621900, China
Guangzu BAI, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
Yue CHEN, Institute of Science of Science and S&T Management &WISE Lab, Dalian 116085, China
Zhijie GAO, Center for Strategic Research on Frontier and Interdisciplinary Engineering Science and Technology, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China
Haiwen DAI, Research Center for Innovation Theory and Innovation Management, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510520, China
Weinan WANG, School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China

Keywords

disruptive technology; technology identification; methodological framework; on emerging stage; based on science

Document Type

World Science and Technology Power Construction - Last Ten Years Review and Future Trend of Science and Technology of China - Policy & Management Research

Abstract

To realize sci-tech self-reliance and self-strengthening at higher levels in China, it is imperative for disruptive technologies to embark on a new journey and open new horizons. The layout and development of disruptive technologies is a complicated and systematic project with strategic significance, in which the identification of disruptive technologies holds the key and serves as the premise. To this end, based on the underlying logic that disruptive technologies are destined to transit from marginalized forces to mainstream power in the future through the process of 10→3→1 constringency, on the understanding that the generation of disruptive technologies is driven by science and technology, the study puts forward the identifying approach of "identifying-selecting-evaluating", and develops a methodological framework for identifying disruptive technologies based on science with a view to providing reference for the early identification of disruptive technologies.

First page

674

Last Page

684

Language

Chinese

Publisher

Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences

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Recommended Citation

DENG, Jianjun; LIU, Anrong; CAO, Xiaoyang; ZHANG, Ke; BAI, Guangzu; CHEN, Yue; GAO, Zhijie; DAI, Haiwen; and WANG, Weinan (2022) "Methodological Framework of Identifying Disruptive Technologies on Emerging Stage: Based on Science," Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version): Vol. 37 : Iss. 5 , Article 12.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.16418/j.issn.1000-3045.20211205004
Available at: https://bulletinofcas.researchcommons.org/journal/vol37/iss5/12