Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)


energy resources; mineral resource; consumption history; limits to growth; demand outlook

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This paper summarizes the history of energy and important mineral resources consumption in China in the past 70 years, expounds the mechanism of energy and important mineral resources consumption supporting economic and social development and the theory of "limit of growth", and forecasts China's demand for energy and important mineral resources in the next 15 years. In this paper, it is points out that the consumption of mineral resources will reach the peak around 2025, and that primary energy consumption will reach turning point around 2030, the consumption of critical mineral resources will enter a period of rapid growth. Before 2035, China's status and situation as the world's largest consumer, producer, and trade country of energy and important mineral resources will not be able to change, and it is necessary to actively respond to various possible challenges.

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Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences


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